Louisiana
W-L: ( 7- 5) PR = 69.5469Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 12-14 906 H McNeese 34-10 913 A Missouri SEC ( 8- 5, 84.0) 10-52 920 A Ea Michigan MIDA ( 4- 8, 67.1) 31-34 927 H Marshall SUN ( 5- 7, 71.8) 54-51 1018 H So Miss SUN ( 6- 7, 68.2) 20-22 1025 H Boston Col ` ACC ( 3- 9, 69.1) 38-24 1025 A Troy SUN ( 8- 6, 71.6) 23-35 1101 A So Alabama SUN ( 4- 8, 67.5) 31-22 1108 H Texas State SUN ( 5- 8, 71.5) 42-39 1120 A Arkansas State SUN ( 7- 6, 69.9) 34-30 1129 H La-Monroe SUN ( 3- 9, 63.5) 30-27
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Rice 12-14 -2 6 --- -7.99
913 A Missouri 10-52 -42 -20 0.00
920 A Ea Michigan 31-34 -3 -3 -0.16
927 H Marshall 54-51 3 3 -0.01
1018 H So Miss 20-22 -2 7 --- -8.60
1025 H Boston Col ` 38-24 14 6 +++ 8.33
1025 A Troy 23-35 -12 -7 -- -4.69
1101 A So Alabama 31-22 9 -3 +++ 12.19
1108 H Texas State 42-39 3 3 -0.34
1120 A Arkansas State 34-30 4 -6 +++ 9.63
1129 H La-Monroe 30-27 3 11 --- -8.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 830 H Rice 12-14 -2 6 --- -7.99 1018 H So Miss 20-22 -2 7 --- -8.60 1129 H La-Monroe 30-27 3 11 --- -8.33 1025 A Troy 23-35 -12 -7 -- -4.69 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 H Boston Col ` 38-24 14 6 +++ 8.33 1101 A So Alabama 31-22 9 -3 +++ 12.19 1120 A Arkansas State 34-30 4 -6 +++ 9.63 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 12-14 -31.09 20.13 -5.26 1.16 -21.06
3 A Missouri ( 8- 5, 84.0) 10-52 -15.90 35.32 5.26 1.16 -6.17
3 A Ea Michigan ( 4- 8, 67.1) 31-34 -32.78 18.44 5.26 1.16 -15.95
3 H Marshall ( 5- 7, 71.8) 54-51 -28.11 23.11 -5.26 1.16 41.39
3 H So Miss ( 6- 7, 68.2) 20-22 -31.70 19.52 -5.26 1.16 -21.42
3 H Boston Col ` ( 3- 9, 69.1) 38-24 -30.76 20.46 -5.26 1.16 35.23
3 A Troy ( 8- 6, 71.6) 23-35 -28.31 22.91 5.26 1.16 -13.36
3 A So Alabama ( 4- 8, 67.5) 31-22 -32.42 18.80 5.26 1.16 55.76
3 H Texas State ( 5- 8, 71.5) 42-39 -28.44 22.78 -5.26 1.16 40.62
3 A Arkansas State ( 7- 6, 69.9) 34-30 -29.99 21.23 5.26 1.16 61.41
3 H La-Monroe ( 3- 9, 63.5) 30-27 -36.43 14.79 -5.26 1.16 22.10
------
178.56
|
winning pts = 256.5201 losing points = -77.9565
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------